5 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OP
🇨🇿Ondrej Paril
ELO 1646
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Paril
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1641
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Paril
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H24-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.