5 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MC
🇨🇿Michal Cabis
ELO 1646
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Cabis
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
52%
48%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Cabis
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H54-42
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.