6 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1641
FormLWLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1660
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H52-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.