6 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1683
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szotkowski
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1641
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Szotkowski goes over total as favourite 93% (14)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H21-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.