6 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1581
FormWLWWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kysely
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Simecek
ELO 1508
FormLLWWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.