6 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1494
FormLLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zientek
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1428
FormLWLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+66
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.