6 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1432
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rybar
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1492
FormWLWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 45% · 2.25· vig 11%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.