6 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1419
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Syroha
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1378
FormWLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Syroha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.