6 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Mecl Jr
ELO 1647
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jr
MZ
🇨🇿Michal Zahradka
ELO 1611
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Jr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+36
H2H35-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.