6 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1494
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bosak
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1466
FormLLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Bosak
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.