6 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Taichman
JP
🇨🇿Jaroslav Peter
ELO 1412
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.