6 Jul · 17:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Biolek
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1704
FormWWWLW
45%
55%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+97
H2H31-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-16)