6 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zmuda
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
49%
51%
🌟Plachy covers set handicap as underdog 70% (20)
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+24
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.