6 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lubor Sulava
ELO 1438
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.