6 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1478
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1494
FormLLWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.