7 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Pavel Stuchlik
ELO 1399
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Didi
JD
🇨🇿Julius Didi
ELO 1470
FormWWWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Didi
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+71
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.