6 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1453
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Plachy
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1498
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
🌟Plachy rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (12)
Fair odds · Plachy
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+45
H2H6-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.