6 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AW
🇨🇿Adrian Walek
ELO 1540
FormWWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H3-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.