6 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MT
🇨🇿Mihail Trinta
ELO 1411
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Nohejl
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Trinta covers set handicap as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Nohejl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.