6 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1376
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Madle
LM
🇨🇿Ludek Madle
ELO 1382
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Madle
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+6
H2H5-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.