6 Jul · 22:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1581
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kysely
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Krok
ELO 1471
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+110
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)