6 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇨🇿Alfred Rinka
ELO 1464
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bosak
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1494
FormLLWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Bosak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.