6 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1607
FormLWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Revay
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1660
FormWWLLW
47%
53%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 81% (21)
Fair odds · Revay
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+53
H2H48-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.