7 Jul · 01:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
OK
🇨🇿Ondrej Kysely
ELO 1588
FormWLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kysely
JT
🇨🇿Jan Trefny
ELO 1500
55%
45%
Fair odds · Kysely
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.88· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+88
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)