6 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VR
🇨🇿Vaclav Rybar
ELO 1492
FormWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Rybar
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Kocian
ELO 1436
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Rybar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.