7 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PS
🇨🇿Pavel Stuchlik
ELO 1399
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pelikan
JP
🇨🇿Josef Pelikan
ELO 1439
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pelikan
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.