6 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JL
🇨🇿Jiri Louda
ELO 1571
FormWLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pikous
MP
🇨🇿Marcel Pikous
ELO 1621
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Pikous
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+50
H2H62-83
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.