6 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Plachta
ELO 1601
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Navedla
MN
🇨🇿Matyas Navedla
ELO 1605
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Navedla
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H4-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.