6 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇨🇿Martin Jaksa
ELO 1428
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Zurek
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1529
FormLLLWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+101
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)