7 Jul · 01:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1594
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Pycha
MC
🇨🇿Marek Chlebecek
ELO 1540
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 53% · 1.87· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H6-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.