6 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1376
FormWLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chalupnicek
MC
🇨🇿Milan Chalupnicek
ELO 1378
FormWLLLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Chalupnicek
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H18-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.