6 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Heczko
ELO 1515
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Byrtus
SB
🇨🇿Samuel Byrtus
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Byrtus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H7-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.