7 Jul · 03:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1635
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Svechota
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1579
FormLWWLL
53%
47%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+56
H2H9-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.