6 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Matyas Kolek
ELO 1432
FormWWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Levicky
ML
🇨🇿Matej Levicky
ELO 1476
FormLWWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Levicky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H9-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.