7 Jul · 04:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇨🇿Ales Hlawatschke
ELO 1554
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Pycha
PP
🇨🇿Patrik Pycha
ELO 1594
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Pycha
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+40
H2H15-21
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.