6 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RH
🇨🇿Rotislav Hasmanda
ELO 1520
FormWLWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hasmanda
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1488
FormWLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Hasmanda
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+32
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.