6 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1704
FormWWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Biolek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1683
FormWLWWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Biolek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H15-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.