6 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PZ
🇨🇿Petr Zmuda
ELO 1522
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Zmuda
JS
🇨🇿Jakub Stolfa
ELO 1453
FormLWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Zmuda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+69
H2H0-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.