7 Jul · 03:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Michal Hampl
ELO 1609
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hampl
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1571
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🌟Huk covers set handicap as underdog 83% (12)
Fair odds · Hampl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.