6 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DH
🇨🇿David Horak
ELO 1481
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jnr
JJ
🇨🇿Jan Varcl Jnr
ELO 1510
FormWWLWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Jnr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.14· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.