6 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
IT
🇨🇿Ivo Taichman
ELO 1462
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Taichman
PH
🇨🇿Patrik Hanel
ELO 1452
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Taichman
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+10
H2H10-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.