7 Jul · 02:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JR
🇨🇿Jiri Ruzicka
ELO 1579
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Hampl
MH
🇨🇿Michal Hampl
ELO 1609
FormLLLWW
48%
52%
🌟Ruzicka rarely covers set handicap as underdog 36% (14)
Fair odds · Hampl
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.