6 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TN
🇨🇿Tomas Nohejl
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kucharcik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kucharcik
ELO 1500
47%
53%
Fair odds · Kucharcik
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.