6 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michal Syroha
ELO 1426
FormWLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kucharcik
JK
🇨🇿Jan Kucharcik
ELO 1500
46%
54%
Fair odds · Kucharcik
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.