7 Jul · 08:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Martin Stefek
ELO 1377
FormLLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Dolezal
VD
🇨🇿Vaclav Dolezal
ELO 1475
FormWLLLL
45%
55%
🌟Stefek goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Dolezal
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+98
H2H26-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-12)