7 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1625
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Opanasiuk
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1611
FormWLLLW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.