7 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FZ
🇨🇿Filip Zurek
ELO 1528
FormLLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zurek
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Zurek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+65
H2H15-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.