7 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
PV
🇨🇿Pavel Varecha
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Zientek
ZZ
🇨🇿Zbynek Zientek
ELO 1478
FormLWLLL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Zientek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.