7 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SK
🇨🇿Stepan Kysely
ELO 1560
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vedmoch
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vedmoch
ELO 1571
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Vedmoch
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+11
H2H4-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.