7 Jul · 12:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RR
🇨🇿Radomir Revay
ELO 1666
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Revay
RP
🇨🇿Radovan Polasek
ELO 1658
FormWLLWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Revay
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H52-67
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.